Bitcoin has reached $110,000 as global liquidity and fiscal stimulus drive its price higher, confirming its strong correlation with macroeconomic cycles. With rising deficits, concentrated wealth, and structural reliance on liquidity, the economy now depends heavily on sustained asset performance and monetary support.

Ainslie Research’s May 2025 update reveals markets have reset to an early-cycle phase amid expanding global liquidity, with Gold steady, Silver poised for gains, and Bitcoin rebounding above US$100,000. Investors are encouraged to align strategies with the liquidity cycle, as fiscal stimulus and easing pressures continue to support asset growth.

Ainslie Research’s May 2025 update reveals Bitcoin’s surge past US$100,000, fuelled by a favourable global liquidity cycle, regulatory changes like the GENIUS Act, and fiscal stimulus. As traditional portfolios underperform, Bitcoin’s role as a diversification tool gains traction, offering potential for further upside.

Ainslie Research’s April 2025 update reveals global liquidity reaching record highs, boosting Bitcoin’s rebound above US$90,000 and supporting sustained gold demand amid central bank buying. Silver stands out as a potential outperformer as the gold-silver ratio reaches historical extremes, setting the stage for a catch-up rally.

Ainslie Research’s April 2025 update highlights Bitcoin’s rebound above US$90,000 amid easing financial conditions, strong ETF inflows, and stabilizing global liquidity. With inflation subdued and the worst of tariff concerns priced in, Bitcoin looks set to benefit from a supportive policy pivot and expanding liquidity.

Ainslie Research’s March 2025 update highlights an upward but hesitant global liquidity cycle, supporting cautious optimism for Bitcoin, gold, and silver. While Bitcoin faces near-term volatility, gold benefits from central bank demand, and silver remains an attractive late-cycle play.

Ainslie Research’s March 2025 update highlights Bitcoin’s resilience amid stable liquidity and policy headwinds, with ETF outflows reflecting technical adjustments. Long-term adoption, aided by the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, suggests strong upside potential despite near-term volatility.

Ainslie Research’s February 2025 analysis suggests that despite Bitcoin’s recent correction, rising global liquidity and a mid-cycle macro environment favour a long-term bullish outlook. Gold nears US$3,000 amid central bank buying, while silver’s upside potential grows as the gold-silver ratio stretches past 90.

Ainslie Research’s February 2025 update shows Bitcoin consolidating after a strong run, with liquidity and macro factors supporting its long-term outlook. Generational wealth transfer and disenfranchised younger investors bolster Bitcoin’s adoption as a hedge against systemic risks.

Ainslie Research’s January 2025 update shows global liquidity steady but with potential upside if major central banks pivot, supporting Bitcoin’s bull market and gold’s strong demand from central banks. Silver, historically a late-cycle performer, could rally as the gold-silver ratio compresses.

Ainslie Research’s January 2025 update highlights Bitcoin’s resilience amid stable global liquidity and supportive macro conditions, with potential for gains as US policy shifts and institutional adoption deepen. A weaker USD could spark a new Bitcoin rally, echoing the 2017 bull run.

November 2024 sees Bitcoin breaking out ahead of a likely rebound in global liquidity, as macro indicators point to a return to mid-cycle conditions. Gold and Silver continue their bullish climb, supported by strong fundamentals and rising inflation expectations.

November 2024 marks a pivotal shift with Bitcoin breaking all-time highs, fuelled by early-cycle macro conditions, surging ETF inflows, and pro-Bitcoin U.S. policy under Republican leadership. Despite short-term liquidity dips, long-term indicators suggest a powerful upside heading into 2025.

October 2024 data confirms improving macro and liquidity conditions as inflation stabilizes and central banks continue easing. Bitcoin, gold, and silver remain key beneficiaries of this environment, setting up for continued strength into year-end.

October 2024 confirms Bitcoin’s bullish outlook with growing liquidity, central bank easing, and a mid-cycle macro backdrop supportive of risk assets. Political shifts and ETF flows add fuel to the rally, positioning Bitcoin for a strong year-end.

Global liquidity has reached record highs in September 2024, bolstered by Fed easing, falling inflation, and a weakening dollar—setting the stage for asset appreciation. Bitcoin, Gold, and Silver remain the core beneficiaries, with Bitcoin expected to soon follow the path of its hard asset peers.

Bitcoin's price consolidation continues in September 2024, aligned with seasonal weakness and awaiting a strong Q4 setup backed by expected rate cuts and rising liquidity. With historical performance favouring late-year rallies—especially in halving years—the outlook remains bullish.

August 2024 signals a decisive turn higher in the macro cycle, with global liquidity expanding rapidly—particularly from China—and inflation trending below 2%. Bitcoin is expected to catch up with Gold and Silver, which have already rallied on these improving conditions.

Despite August's volatility, Bitcoin’s macro and liquidity indicators remain bullish, with global liquidity rising and long-term holders accumulating through the dip. A 5-month consolidation appears to be setting the stage for the next breakout in H2 2024.

In July 2024, Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin remain in strong positions as global liquidity begins to recover and inflation trends below 2%. With central banks easing and China contributing more liquidity, the setup for asset appreciation into H2 strengthens.